REPORTS

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Pandemic Remittance Shocks and Resilience in the South Africa-Zimbabwe Corridor

Jonathan Crush and Godfrey Tawodzera

2023

SAMP Migration Policy Series No. 86, Cape Town

Citation: Crush, Jonathan and Godfrey Tawodzera (2023). Pandemic Remittance Shocks and Resilience in the South Africa-Zimbabwe Corridor. SAMP Migration Policy Series No. 86, Cape Town.

  • During the first year of COVID-19, international organizations and migration experts confidently predicted that the pandemic would lead to a significant decline in remittances, a result of migrant layoffs and unemployment, return migration and disrupted remittance channels. Remittance pessimism vanished during the second year of the pandemic as data indicated that remittances had not suffered the predicted collapse.
  • In testing the conflicting global and local narratives about the impact of the COVID19 crisis on remittance flows in the South Africa-Zimbabwe migration corridor, the authors draw on findings of a 2021 survey they conducted of Zimbabwean migrant households in South Africa. This, and surveys in other countries, showed depressed earning and remitting capacity and behaviour of migrants during the pandemic. Given these findings, there was no obvious explanation as to why remittances had not plunged in 2020.
  • With this paradox of stable or increased migrant remittances and decreased migrant capacity to remit, a narrative emerged that emphasized the distinction between formal (recorded) remittances, which are captured in IMF and World Bank data, and informal (unrecorded) remittances, which are not.
  • In many parts of the Global South, including in the South Africa-Zimbabwe migration corridor, informal remittance channels and volumes have been more important than formal ones. Zimbabwean migrants in South Africa continued to use informal channels after COVID-19 hit, but border closures and mobility restrictions partially blocked these channels for much of 2020 and 2021. Migrants responded by increasing their use of formal channels and there was a significant shift towards digital remittance services.
  • The pandemic-related increase in remittances captured by the reserve banks was, at least in part, a product of a shift from informal to formal remitting behaviour. Whether the COVID-19 crisis has been a permanent boon to formal money transfer operators and digital remittance service providers or whether migrants will revert to informal channels post-pandemic remains to be seen.
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Labour Migration in the Southern African Region: A Stocktaking

Jonathan Crush, Vincent Williams, Anil Dhakal, Sujata Ramachandran

2022

Rome: International Labour Organization

Citation:  Crush, Jonathan, Vincent Williams, Anil Dhakal and Sujata Ramachandran. (2022). Labour Migration in the Southern African Region: A Stocktaking. Rome: International Labour Organization.

The report “Labour Migration in the Southern African Region: a Stocktaking” includes information on the evolving labour migration landscape in the Southern African region, with the aim of informing on-going labour migration policy development and implementation. The report covers a range of major themes in this landscape, such as labour migration governance and the role of global, continental and sub-regional policy frameworks; social protection of migrant workers; qualification frameworks; and labour migration statistics. The report is one of the outputs of the Southern African Migration Management Project (SAMM 1 ), and the project broadly supports the conclusions and recommendations included in its final chapter. In line with the project objectives, the SAMM project funded by the European Union, hopes that this stocktaking report will help improve labour migration governance in the Southern African region.

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Expanding The Use of Administrative Data Sources and New Data Types for Labour Migration Statistics

Jonathan Crush and Sujata Ramachandran

2022

Report for African Union and Statistics South Africa, Addis Ababa

Citation:  Crush, Jonathan and Sujata Ramachandran (2022). Expanding The Use of Administrative Data Sources and New Data Types for Labour Migration Statistics. Report for African Union and Statistics South Africa, Addis Ababa.

This pilot study is a baseline assessment of new data sources on labour migration in South Africa conducted under the auspices of the AU-ILO-IOM-ECA Joint Programme on Labour Migration Governance for Development and Integration in Africa (JLMP) in coordination with Statistics South Africa. South Africa is the “Southern hub” of international migration in Africa and a principal migrant-receiving country in the African Union. It has long attracted highly skilled, semi and unskilled migrants, refugees and asylum-seekers shaped by a combination of push and pull factors, including employment and business opportunities, education and training systems, crisis related circumstances, and other reasons. These flows are also highly dynamic, transforming over recent decades, involving short and long-term movements through formal and informal channels of individuals with diverse skills and backgrounds from neighbouring countries and beyond. The diversification of migrants’ countries of origin is also increasingly evident. South Africa’s National Development Policy includes a section on “Migration Solutions” which notes that South Africa has done little to increase the benefits of migration or reduce the risks migrants face.3 In pursuit of an immigration policy that facilitates the arrival of scarce skills, the Plan outlines various steps to better facilitate migration including “improving data collection, coordination and analysis as a matter of urgency.” The 2022 Draft National Migration Policy for South Africa also prioritizes labour migration statistics. One of four Key Areas of Intervention (KAI) is Data for evidence-based policy monitoring and evaluation (KAI 2). KAI 2 focuses on “strengthening the collection, comparison, analysis and use of labour migration related data by a range of data users (government officials, social partners, civil society, and the media) for the purposes of policy monitoring and evaluation.”

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Pandemic Food Precarity, Crisis-Living and Translocality: Zimbabwean Migrant Households in South Africa during COVID-19.

Sujata Ramachandran, Jonathan Crush, Godfrey Tawodzera, Elizabeth Onyango

2022

SAMP Migration Policy Series No. 85, Cape Town

Citation: Ramachandran, Sujata, Jonathan Crush, Godfrey Tawodzera and Elizabeth Onyango (2022). Pandemic Food Precarity, Crisis-Living and Translocality: Zimbabwean Migrant Households in South Africa during COVID-19. SAMP Migration Policy Series No. 85, Cape Town.

COVID-19 has been a great disrupter of international migration and a social and economic disaster for migrants. Most research attention has focused on the challenges faced by migrants and refugees in destination countries and on return to countries of origin during successive waves of the pandemic. While the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on food security has attracted more attention, most of this research has focused either on national food insecurity or the food insecurity of small samples of rural households. The findings in this report come from a household survey conducted by SAMP in mid-2021. The report argues that years of crisis living in a hyperinflationary environment in Zimbabwe left many households in a pre-pandemic state of food insecurity and vulnerable to the pandemic shock. At the same time, the pandemic reduced the ability of Zimbabwean migrant households in South Africa to assist family back in Zimbabwe. As COVID-19 began to bite, for example, there was increased pressure on migrant households in South Africa to remit more and more often. While most did continue to remit in the first year of the pandemic, their own parlous situation meant that they had to reduce their remittances. Many had lost employment and had a reduction in income, primarily because they worked in sectors that were hard hit by the pandemic, including domestic work, the services and tourist industry, and the informal sector. Although most were working again by the time of the survey, the impact was still being felt, nowhere more so than in household food insecurity. Only 5% of the female-headed households were completely food secure. In the face of rising food prices, most were eating less and consuming cheaper foods with a drop in dietary diversity. As well as contributing to greater awareness of the negative impacts of COVID-19 on migrants and refugees in Southern Africa, this report contributes to the more general discussion on pandemic precarity. First, it applies the concept of pandemic precarity to draw attention to pre-existing forms of socioeconomic insecurity and inequality among migrant households that have been exacerbated by COVID-19 shocks and stressors. Second, it recognizes that migrant households have translocal householding commitments and obligations in their home countries. In the context of COVID-19, both have been negatively affected and need to be considered together to assess the full impact on food security. Finally, the report suggests that female migrants and female-headed households were particularly vulnerable to pandemic impacts. By adopting a gender lens, the report demonstrates that pandemic precarity was a major challenge for female migrants and their dependants. The negative implications of pandemic precarity for translocal households stretched between two or more countries are also clear from this analysis.

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